Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.625384 1.704471 1.785943 1.876303 1.973906 2.076358 2.192301
2026-01-11 1.509468 1.625454 1.749981 1.894297 2.057802 2.238326 2.454146
2026-01-18 1.427798 1.570981 1.730028 1.921336 2.147301 2.408405 2.736986
2026-01-25 1.340956 1.500657 1.682921 1.908902 2.185275 2.517364 2.954749
2026-02-01 1.258352 1.427399 1.624586 1.875227 2.190831 2.583011 3.120750
2026-02-08 1.174949 1.346829 1.550760 1.815129 2.155934 2.591276 3.208776
2026-02-15 1.117243 1.293268 1.505481 1.785792 2.155443 2.640619 3.352664
2026-02-22 1.076277 1.257493 1.479329 1.777723 2.180096 2.722753 3.547425
2026-03-01 1.032997 1.216299 1.443578 1.754023 2.180725 2.769960 3.693651
2026-03-08 0.976281 1.155501 1.379642 1.689011 2.119853 2.724668 3.693837
2026-03-15 0.948373 1.130237 1.360313 1.682361 2.138924 2.794501 3.877789
2026-03-22 0.939337 1.128693 1.371560 1.717323 2.218314 2.958192 4.229498
2026-03-29 0.907325 1.097579 1.344374 1.700717 2.226607 3.022181 4.436833
2026-04-05 0.886823 1.081072 1.336350 1.711034 2.276083 3.155899 4.787534
2026-04-12 0.871104 1.070269 1.335520 1.731503 2.342384 3.323349 5.228699
2026-04-19 0.845611 1.045141 1.313586 1.719598 2.357123 3.406191 5.521997
2026-04-26 0.816248 1.013590 1.281232 1.690264 2.341747 3.435402 5.711605
2026-05-03 0.781727 0.973774 1.235643 1.638674 2.286852 3.389996 5.736997
2026-05-10 0.757457 0.947411 1.208260 1.613446 2.273503 3.417673 5.925826
2026-05-17 0.740182 0.930215 1.193323 1.606468 2.289781 3.500589 6.253667
2026-05-24 0.719987 0.908245 1.170601 1.586144 2.281877 3.537003 6.479146
2026-05-31 0.690557 0.872418 1.126515 1.530365 2.209839 3.444536 6.375084
2026-06-07 0.676853 0.858593 1.114326 1.524642 2.224406 3.521902 6.712127